Atlantic Tropical Storm TOMAS Advisory Number 12

Atlantic Tropical Storm TOMAS Advisory Number 12
Sun, 31 Oct 2010 21:34:49 -0500

000
WTNT31 KNHC 010234
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
1100 PM AST SUN OCT 31 2010

...TOMAS CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.2N 66.5W
ABOUT 215 MI...350 KM NE OF CURACAO
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM S OF PONCE PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.5 WEST. TOMAS IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A WESTWARD MOTION
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
OVERNIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

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Atlantic Hurricane TOMAS Advisory Number 11

Atlantic Hurricane TOMAS Advisory Number 11
Sun, 31 Oct 2010 15:31:25 -0500

000
WTNT31 KNHC 312030
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
500 PM AST SUN OCT 31 2010

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS TOMAS WEAKER...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.4N 64.9W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM W OF ST. LUCIA
ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.9 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES...240 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH
TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN

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News Alert: Theodore C. Sorensen, Kennedy Counselor and Wordsmith, Dies at 82

Breaking News Alert
The New York Times
Sun, October 31, 2010 -- 3:46 PM ET
-----

Theodore C. Sorensen, Kennedy Counselor and Wordsmith, Dies at 82

Theodore C. Sorensen, who was a close adviser and counselor
to John F. Kennedy for 11 years, writing words and giving
voice to ideas that shaped the president's image and legacy,
died Sunday. He was 82.

Mr. Sorensen said he suspected the headline on his obituary
would read: "Theodore Sorenson, Kennedy Speechwriter,"
misspelling his name and misjudging his work. "I was never
just a speechwriter," he said in an interview with The New
York Times in 2007.

He was best known for working with Mr. Kennedy on passages of
soaring rhetoric, including the 1961 inaugural address
proclaiming that "the torch has been passed to a new
generation of Americans" and challenging citizens: "Ask not
what your country can do for you, ask what you can do for
your country." Mr. Sorensen drew on the Bible, the Gettysburg
Address and the words of Thomas Jefferson and Winston
Churchill as he helped hone and polish that speech.

Read More:
http://www.nytimes.com?emc=na

-----
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Sign up by texting NEWSALERTS to 698698 (NYTNYT).
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New York, NY 10018

Copyright 2010 The New York Times Company

2010-10-31 16:38:49 DELETED: (M 5.7) NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G. -6.4 150.2 (442af)

DELETED: Event US a00046kx

== EVENT DELETED NOTIFICATION ==

***This event has been deleted after review by a seismologist.***

Geographic coordinates: 6.382S, 150.155E
Magnitude: 5.7
Universal Time (UTC): 31 Oct 2010 16:38:49
Time near the Epicenter: 1 Nov 2010 02:38:49

Location with respect to nearby cities:
71 km (44 miles) ESE (104 degrees) of Kandrian, New Britain, PNG
329 km (205 miles) SW (223 degrees) of Rabaul, New Britain, PNG
337 km (209 miles) NE (39 degrees) of Popondetta, New Guinea, PNG
351 km (218 miles) E (83 degrees) of Lae, New Guinea, PNG
473 km (294 miles) NE (44 degrees) of PORT MORESBY, Papua New Guinea

DISCLAIMER: https://sslearthquake.usgs.gov/ens/help.html?page=help#disclaimer

2010-10-31 16:38:49 UPDATED: (M 6.1) NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G. -6.6 150.2 (442af)

6.1 M - NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.

Preliminary Earthquake Report

Magnitude	6.1 M
Date-Time	31 Oct 2010 16:38:49 UTC 1 Nov 2010 02:38:49 near epicenter 31 Oct 2010 06:38:49 standard time in your timezone
Location	6.604S 150.240E
Depth	5 km
Distances	88 km (55 miles) ESE (118 degrees) of Kandrian, New Britain, PNG 324 km (201 miles) NE (43 degrees) of Popondetta, New Guinea, PNG 342 km (212 miles) SW (219 degrees) of Rabaul, New Britain, PNG 358 km (223 miles) E (88 degrees) of Lae, New Guinea, PNG 462 km (287 miles) NE (47 degrees) of PORT MORESBY, Papua New Guinea
Location Uncertainty	Horizontal: 15.5 km; Vertical 1.6 km
Parameters	Nph = 40; Dmin = 341.8 km; Rmss = 1.51 seconds; Gp = 50° M-type = M; Version = 5
Event ID	US a00046kx

For updates, maps, and technical information, see:
Event Page
or
USGS Earthquake Hazards Program

National Earthquake Information Center
U.S. Geological Survey
http://neic.usgs.gov/

Disclaimer

This email was sent to filter@clubhouseb.com You requested mail for events between -90.0/90.0 latitude and 180.0/-180.0 longitude for M6.0 at all times. To change your parameters or unsubscribe, go to: https://sslearthquake.usgs.gov/ens/

Atlantic Hurricane TOMAS Advisory Number 10

Atlantic Hurricane TOMAS Advisory Number 10
Sun, 31 Oct 2010 09:44:29 -0500

000
WTNT31 KNHC 311443
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
1100 AM AST SUN OCT 31 2010

...TOMAS WEAKENS SLIGHTLY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.0N 63.7W
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM W OF ST. LUCIA
ABOUT 345 MI...550 KM SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENTS OF BARBADOS...FRANCE...AND ST. LUCIA HAVE
DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.7 WEST. TOMAS IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...FOLLOWED
BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST ON MONDAY. TOMAS IS FORECAST TO MOVE
ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND
SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH TODAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH TOMAS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN

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Atlantic Hurricane TOMAS Advisory Number 9

Atlantic Hurricane TOMAS Advisory Number 9
Sun, 31 Oct 2010 03:39:23 -0500

000
WTNT31 KNHC 310838
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
500 AM AST SUN OCT 31 2010

...TOMAS STILL PRODUCING RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.0N 62.9W
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM W OF ST. LUCIA
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* MARTINIQUE
* ST. LUCIA
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES

THESE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.9 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
TOMAS WILL CONTINUE MOVING AWAY FROM THE WINDWARD ISLANDS OVERNIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED
TODAY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

IN THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...MARTINIQUE REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 43
MPH...69 KM/HR.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL OCCURRING WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA...BUT WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATER TODAY.

RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND
SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH TODAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH TOMAS.

STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WILL CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH TODAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

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