Sunday, November 7, 2010

Atlantic Hurricane TOMAS Advisory Number 38

Atlantic Hurricane TOMAS Advisory Number 38
Sun, 07 Nov 2010 02:37:52 -0600


000
WTNT31 KNHC 070837
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
500 AM AST SUN NOV 07 2010

...TOMAS STILL A HURRICANE BUT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL
STORM LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.2N 68.8W
ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.8 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD
THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS FORECAST LATER TODAY. AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TOMAS IS STILL A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. HOWEVER...WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200
MILES...325 KM...PRIMARILY ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE HURRICANE.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



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