Compact News: Atlantic Hurricane IGOR Advisory Number 48

Sunday, September 19, 2010

Atlantic Hurricane IGOR Advisory Number 48

Atlantic Hurricane IGOR Advisory Number 48
Sun, 19 Sep 2010 21:35:57 -0500

000
WTNT31 KNHC 200235
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGOR ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
1100 PM AST SUN SEP 19 2010

...CENTER OF HURRICANE IGOR PASSING JUST WEST OF BERMUDA...93 MPH
WIND GUST REPORTED ON THE ISLAND...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.4N 65.5W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM W OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGOR WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.5 WEST. IGOR IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTHEAST WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON
MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGOR WILL BE PASSING
JUST TO THE NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND
BEGIN TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE ISLAND LATER ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGOR IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. IGOR IS FORECAST TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

IGOR IS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES...555 KM. THE
OFFICIAL WEATHER OBSERVING SITE IN BERMUDA RECENTLY REPORTED A
SUSTAINED WIND OF 74 MPH...119 KM/HR...WITH A GUST TO 93 MPH...150
KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER BERMUDA THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATER ON MONDAY MORNING.

RAINFALL...IGOR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH OVER BERMUDA THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY.
THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS TO BETWEEN 6 AND 9 INCHES OVER
BERMUDA.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING ON BERMUDA. THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
SOUTHERN COAST.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES THROUGH MONDAY. LARGE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
IN PUERTO RICO...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...HISPANIOLA...AND PORTIONS OF
THE BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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