Compact News: Atlantic Hurricane RICHARD Advisory Number 17

Sunday, October 24, 2010

Atlantic Hurricane RICHARD Advisory Number 17

Atlantic Hurricane RICHARD Advisory Number 17
Sun, 24 Oct 2010 21:48:48 -0500

000
WTNT34 KNHC 250248
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE RICHARD ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192010
1000 PM CDT SUN OCT 24 2010

...EYE OF RICHARD PASSING THROUGH CENTRAL BELIZE...

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 88.6W
ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM E OF BELMOPAN BELIZE
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM WSW OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BELIZE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST COAST OF YUCATAN MEXICO FROM PUNTA GRUESA TO CHETUMAL

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICHARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.6 WEST. RICHARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF RICHARD WILL MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL
BELIZE OVERNIGHT AND INTO NORTHERN GUATEMALA EARLY MONDAY. RICHARD
IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND INTO
THE EXTREME SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO MONDAY NIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. RICHARD IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS RICHARD MOVES
FURTHER INLAND.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM. A WIND GUST TO 62 MPH...100 KM/HR...WAS RECENTLY
REPORTED AT THE OFFICIAL OBSERVING SITE IN BELIZE CITY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW ALONG
THE COAST OF BELIZE. WATER LEVELS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE EARLY
MONDAY MORNING.

RAINFALL...RICHARD IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE BAY ISLANDS...BELIZE...NORTHERN GUATEMALA...
AND THE MEXICAN STATES OF QUINTANA ROO AND CAMPECHE...WITH MAXIMUM
STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF AROUND 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD INLAND OVER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL BELIZE AND NORTHEASTERN GUATEMALA OVERNIGHT. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF QUINTANA ROO AND CAMPECHE...AND THE
REMAINDER OF NORTHERN GUATEMALA THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BERG

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